Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Up" if the Hyperliquid price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream HYPE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | 0% YES | 100% NO |
This market settles based on whether Hyperliquid's price, as reported by Chainlink's HYPE/USD data stream, closes higher on 31 May between 8:05PM and 8:10PM ET than it opens at 8:05PM. The five-minute window captures a specific intraday price movement during US evening hours, when crypto markets typically experience moderate volatility but lower volumes than Asian or European trading sessions. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects minimal trading activity in this particular contract, suggesting either insufficient liquidity or a lack of conviction among traders on either side of the outcome.
Five-minute price prediction markets for established tokens like Hyperliquid rarely show extreme skew unless major news breaks during the settlement window. Historical precedent suggests such tight timeframes resolve roughly evenly when no scheduled announcements coincide with the window. Hyperliquid, a decentralised perpetuals exchange token, trades across multiple venues with varying liquidity; Chainlink's feed aggregates data from primary sources, which can occasionally lag spot prices by seconds during volatile periods.
Traders monitoring this contract should watch for any exchange announcements, protocol updates, or broader crypto market movements in the hours preceding 8:05PM ET on 31 May. Macro catalysts—Federal Reserve communications, Bitcoin volatility, or Ethereum network developments—can drive sudden directional moves. The extremely low probability currently displayed likely reflects the order book's thinness rather than strong directional conviction, leaving room for price discovery as the settlement window approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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