Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Up" if the BNB price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BNB/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| BNB Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | 100% YES | 0% NO |
BNB is trading within a five-minute window on 9 May 2026, with the market assessing whether the Chainlink BNB/USD data stream will show a price at 11:20AM ET equal to or higher than its level at 11:15AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for an upward or flat movement, suggesting traders are pricing in either strong directional momentum or minimal volatility during this specific interval. This extreme probability reading typically emerges when either genuine conviction exists around near-term price direction, or when liquidity is thin and early positions have moved the book sharply.
Five-minute price movements in BNB historically exhibit mean-reversion characteristics during regular market hours, particularly in the 11:15-11:20AM ET window, which falls within early US trading activity but outside major Asian market close volatility. Comparable micro-timeframe markets on Polymarket show that 100% probabilities at settlement are rare; they typically indicate either a structural imbalance in order flow or traders positioning ahead of known catalysts. BNB's correlation with broader crypto sentiment and Bitcoin price action during this window should not be discounted, as intraday momentum often clusters around specific time periods.
Traders should monitor whether any announcements regarding Binance, regulatory developments, or macroeconomic data releases are scheduled within or immediately preceding this five-minute interval. The Chainlink data feed itself can occasionally lag spot market prices by milliseconds, creating discrepancies between perceived and actual settlement outcomes. Given the extreme probability, any actual price movement will likely hinge on whether the opening tick at 11:15AM ET establishes a floor that holds through 11:20AM ET.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "BNB Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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