Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Barbora Palicova and Elina Avanesyan in the Makarska, originally scheduled for June 5, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Barbora Palicova' if Barbora Palicova advances against Elina Avanesyan. This market will resolve to 'Elina Avanesyan' if Elina Avanesyan advances against Barbora Palicova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Makarska: Barbora Palicova vs Elina Avanesyan | 28% YES | 73% NO |
| Completed Match | 51% YES | 49% NO |
| Makarska: Barbora Palicova vs Elina Avanesyan Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 38% YES | 63% NO |
| Makarska: Barbora Palicova vs Elina Avanesyan Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Makarska: Barbora Palicova vs Elina Avanesyan Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 21% YES | 80% NO |
| Makarska: Barbora Palicova vs Elina Avanesyan Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 65% YES | 35% NO |
| Makarska: Barbora Palicova vs Elina Avanesyan Match O/U 21.5 | 45% YES | 55% NO |
| Makarska: Barbora Palicova vs Elina Avanesyan Set 1 Winner | 35% YES | 65% NO |
Barbora Palicova faces Elina Avanesyan in a Makarska tournament match scheduled for 5 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Palicova's advancement at 28 per cent, implying Avanesyan is favoured at 72 per cent. This probability reflects real-time trading activity across the book, where the spread between bid and ask prices converges around the consensus valuation.
Palicova, a Czech player, and Avanesyan, an Armenian-born competitor, operate at similar career levels within the professional circuit. Historical matchups between players of comparable ranking and surface specialisation typically show tighter probability distributions than the current 28–72 split suggests, though Avanesyan's recent form and head-to-head record against Palicova would be material factors in how traders are positioning. The substantial gap in implied probability indicates the market has identified a clear favourite, likely based on recent tournament results, ranking points, or surface-specific performance data.
Traders should monitor official tournament announcements regarding court assignments and match scheduling, as delays beyond seven days from the 5 June date would trigger a 50–50 resolution. Injury reports or withdrawal declarations from either player would move the market sharply. The settlement window closes 12 June at 14:00 UTC, providing a one-week buffer for match completion. Any changes to player fitness or ranking adjustments in the days before the match could shift the order book materially from current levels.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Makarska: Barbora Palicova vs Elina Avanesyan" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$98 in lifetime turnover and $26K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $98 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: