Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Leyre Romero Gormaz and Carole Monnet in the Foggia, originally scheduled for June 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leyre Romero Gormaz' if Leyre Romero Gormaz advances against Carole Monnet. This market will resolve to 'Carole Monnet' if Carole Monnet advances against Leyre Romero Gormaz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Carole Monnet | 56% YES | 45% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Carole Monnet Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 64% YES | 37% NO |
| Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Carole Monnet Set 1 Winner | 32% YES | 69% NO |
| Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Carole Monnet Match O/U 21.5 | 51% YES | 49% NO |
| Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Carole Monnet Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Carole Monnet Match O/U 22.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Carole Monnet Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
Leyre Romero Gormaz and Carole Monnet are scheduled to meet in the Foggia tournament on 5 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 36% implied probability for Romero Gormaz to advance, suggesting the market views Monnet as the favoured player. This probability has formed through real-time trading activity on the platform's order book, where traders have priced in available information about both players' recent form and head-to-head record.
Romero Gormaz, a Spanish player, and Monnet, a French competitor, operate at similar levels of professional tennis. Historical matchups between players of comparable ranking typically show tight probability distributions, though the 64% lean towards Monnet suggests traders perceive a meaningful edge. Recent ITF and WTA circuit results, along with surface-specific performance data on clay courts, would inform whether the current pricing reflects genuine form differentials or market inefficiency. The Foggia event sits within the broader European clay season, where consistency and recent tournament results carry substantial weight.
Traders should monitor official tournament draws and any late withdrawals or injury announcements through the WTA's official channels before the 5 June start date. Weather conditions in Foggia during early June could affect match scheduling, though the 7-day resolution window provides some buffer. Any changes to seeding, court assignments, or player availability would likely shift the order book. The settlement deadline of 12 June allows for potential delays, but extended postponements beyond that window would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Carole Monnet" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $5K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: