Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Wushuang Zheng and JiaYi Wang in the ITF Women Wuning, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Wushuang Zheng' if Wushuang Zheng advances against JiaYi Wang. This market will resolve to 'JiaYi Wang' if JiaYi Wang advances against Wushuang Zheng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Wuning: Wushuang Zheng vs JiaYi Wang | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Wushuang Zheng and JiaYi Wang are scheduled to meet in the ITF Women's tournament at Wuning on 3 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Zheng's advancement at 43%, implying Wang holds a 57% probability advantage. This pricing reflects the aggregate view of active traders on the platform, with the settlement window closing on 11 June to allow for potential delays or rescheduling within the standard tournament window.
Both players compete on the ITF Women's circuit, where match outcomes depend heavily on recent form, head-to-head records, and surface-specific performance. ITF tournaments at this tier typically feature players ranked outside the WTA's top 150, where ranking volatility is pronounced and individual match results carry substantial weight. Historical ITF Women's events show that unseeded or lower-ranked players frequently produce upset results, particularly in early rounds where preparation levels and motivation vary considerably. The current 43% probability for Zheng suggests the market views her as a slight underdog, though not overwhelmingly so.
Traders should monitor official ITF and tournament announcements regarding player withdrawals, injury updates, or schedule changes in the week preceding 3 June. Weather conditions at the Wuning venue and any late-stage ranking shifts could influence player confidence. The settlement mechanism includes a 50-50 resolution if the match is cancelled outright or delayed beyond seven days without completion, which introduces additional uncertainty. Any withdrawal announcement or venue-related disruption would trigger immediate repricing on the order book.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Wuning: Wushuang Zheng vs JiaYi Wang" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$23 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $23 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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