Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Andreas Timini and Essa Qabazard in the ITF Men Kutaisi, originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andreas Timini' if Andreas Timini advances against Essa Qabazard. This market will resolve to 'Essa Qabazard' if Essa Qabazard advances against Andreas Timini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kutaisi: Andreas Timini vs Essa Qabazard | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Andreas Timini and Essa Qabazard are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Kutaisi tournament on 26 May 2026, with the match originally set for 4:30 AM ET. The ITF circuit comprises lower-tier professional and semi-professional tennis events where ranking points and prize money are modest relative to ATP tournaments. Both players compete primarily on the ITF Men's circuit, where match outcomes depend heavily on form, surface preference, and head-to-head records rather than the sustained ranking stability seen at higher levels.
The current order book on Polymarket shows a 100% implied probability for resolution, suggesting the market is pricing near-certainty that the match will occur and produce a decisive winner by the settlement window closing on 2 June 2026. This extreme probability typically reflects either strong confidence in match completion or limited liquidity creating wide spreads. ITF events at this tier rarely face cancellations once scheduled, though weather disruptions and player withdrawals remain material risks in the week preceding play. The seven-day grace period for delayed matches provides a buffer against minor scheduling shifts.
Traders should monitor ITF Kutaisi's official draw updates and any player injury announcements in the fortnight before the scheduled date. Qabazard and Timini's recent match results and surface records—particularly on clay, the typical court type for Kutaisi—will inform whether the current pricing reflects genuine predictive confidence or simply reflects the baseline assumption of match completion. Any withdrawal or venue change would likely trigger significant repricing before the settlement window closes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kutaisi: Andreas Timini vs Essa Qabazard" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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