Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Giorgio Tabacco and Massimo Giunta in the ITF Men Caltanissetta, originally scheduled for June 5, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giorgio Tabacco' if Giorgio Tabacco advances against Massimo Giunta. This market will resolve to 'Massimo Giunta' if Massimo Giunta advances against Giorgio Tabacco. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Caltanissetta: Giorgio Tabacco vs Massimo Giunta | 41% YES | 59% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Giorgio Tabacco and Massimo Giunta are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Caltanissetta tournament on 5 June 2026. The market currently prices Tabacco's advancement at 41% on Polymarket's order book, reflecting modest backing for the Italian player despite home-court advantage in Sicily. Settlement occurs at 16:30 UTC on 12 June, allowing a seven-day window for match completion.
Both players operate within Italy's lower-tier professional circuit, where ITF tournaments serve as ranking-building venues for competitors outside the ATP top 500. Historical ITF matchups between similarly-ranked Italian players typically show tight odds clustering around 45–55%, suggesting the current 41% reflects either specific recent form data or market participants' assessment of Tabacco's recent results. Giunta's recent tournament performance and head-to-head record, if available, would be primary drivers of the current probability formation.
Traders should monitor ITF tournament scheduling confirmations through the official ITF website and player social media accounts, as lower-tier events occasionally experience fixture changes or cancellations. Weather conditions in Caltanissetta during early June could affect scheduling. Any withdrawal announcements from either player, injury updates, or late-round results from preceding tournaments would shift the order book materially. The seven-day settlement window provides buffer time, but matches delayed beyond that trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, creating tail-risk considerations for positions held close to the deadline.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Caltanissetta: Giorgio Tabacco vs Massimo Giunta" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$73 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $73 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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