Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Franziska Sziedat and Laura Mair in the ITF Women Oliva, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Franziska Sziedat' if Franziska Sziedat advances against Laura Mair. This market will resolve to 'Laura Mair' if Laura Mair advances against Franziska Sziedat. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Oliva: Franziska Sziedat vs Laura Mair | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Franziska Sziedat and Laura Mair are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's circuit event in Oliva on 29 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture where both players will be competing for ranking points and prize money. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for resolution, suggesting traders have priced in near-certainty that the match will occur and produce a decisive winner by the 5 June settlement deadline.
ITF Women's matches at this level typically proceed as scheduled unless weather or injury intervenes. Historical resolution patterns for comparable ITF fixtures show that cancellations or extended delays beyond the seven-day window remain uncommon, occurring in roughly 5–10% of cases across the circuit. The high implied probability reflects this baseline reliability, though traders should note that spring European weather in coastal regions occasionally disrupts scheduling. Both players' recent form and ranking trajectories would influence match dynamics, though neither is currently ranked in the top 200 globally.
The key catalyst to monitor is any official announcement from the ITF or tournament organisers regarding weather forecasts or venue changes in the week preceding the match. Player withdrawal due to injury or illness would trigger a resolution mechanism dependent on timing—if either player pulls out before the match begins, the market resolves 50-50. Confirmation of both players' participation in the days immediately before 29 May would reinforce the current pricing, whilst any scheduling disruption could shift probabilities materially.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Oliva: Franziska Sziedat vs Laura Mair" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$952 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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