Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Kenzie Nguyen and Kate Fakih in the ITF Women Lakewood, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kenzie Nguyen' if Kenzie Nguyen advances against Kate Fakih. This market will resolve to 'Kate Fakih' if Kate Fakih advances against Kenzie Nguyen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Lakewood: Kenzie Nguyen vs Kate Fakih | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Kenzie Nguyen faces Kate Fakih in a Women's ITF tournament match at Lakewood, originally scheduled for 27 May 2026. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability for Nguyen's advancement, suggesting the order book has priced in a decisive favourite. Settlement occurs by 3 June 2026, allowing a seven-day window for completion; matches delayed beyond that threshold without a winner resolve to 50-50.
ITF Women's circuit matches at this level typically feature significant variance in player form and surface adaptation. Comparable ITF tournaments show that seeding and recent ranking shifts often drive initial pricing, though lower-tier professional events experience higher withdrawal and cancellation rates than ATP or WTA fixtures. The current 100% probability on Polymarket's order book suggests either substantial backing for Nguyen or minimal liquidity on the Fakih side, both of which warrant scrutiny before entry.
Key catalysts include official confirmation of both players' participation as the match date approaches, any last-minute schedule adjustments from the ITF, and surface conditions at Lakewood. Recent ITF scheduling data indicates May tournaments occasionally face weather-related delays in certain regions. Traders should monitor the official ITF website and player social media for withdrawal announcements or injury disclosures in the week preceding 27 May. The settlement window's seven-day buffer provides reasonable protection against minor scheduling slippage, though incomplete matches with walkovers would trigger early resolution depending on advancement circumstances.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Lakewood: Kenzie Nguyen vs Kate Fakih" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$623 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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