Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Lois Newberry and Natalia Sousa Salazar in the ITF Women Monastir, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lois Newberry' if Lois Newberry advances against Natalia Sousa Salazar. This market will resolve to 'Natalia Sousa Salazar' if Natalia Sousa Salazar advances against Lois Newberry. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Monastir: Lois Newberry vs Natalia Sousa Salazar | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Lois Newberry faces Natalia Sousa Salazar in the ITF Women's tournament at Monastir, scheduled for early June 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional fixture on the ITF circuit, where both players compete for ranking points and prize money. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects minimal trading activity rather than certainty of outcome; such illiquidity is common for matches involving players outside the WTA top ranks, where information asymmetries and sparse historical data create wide bid-ask spreads.
ITF Women's matches at this level typically feature players ranked between 400–800 on the WTA rankings, making comparative analysis challenging. Newberry and Sousa Salazar's head-to-head record, recent form on clay courts, and fitness status would normally anchor probability estimates, but limited public match data for lower-ranked professionals means traders often rely on surface preference, tournament draw positioning, and recent ITF results. The current zero probability likely reflects the absence of meaningful liquidity rather than a genuine consensus forecast.
Key variables affecting resolution include confirmation of both players' participation as the tournament approaches, potential schedule adjustments given the early morning start time (5:30AM ET), and any injury withdrawals. The settlement window extends to 9 June, providing a one-week buffer for match completion. Traders should monitor ITF tournament updates and player social media for withdrawal announcements, which would trigger the 50-50 tie resolution clause if the match does not occur.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Monastir: Lois Newberry vs Natalia Sousa Salazar" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$134 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $113 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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