Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Elena Milovanovic and Victoria Pohle in the ITF Women Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elena Milovanovic' if Elena Milovanovic advances against Victoria Pohle. This market will resolve to 'Victoria Pohle' if Victoria Pohle advances against Elena Milovanovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elena Milovanovic vs Victoria Pohle | 69% YES | 31% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Elena Milovanovic and Victoria Pohle are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's circuit event at Kursumlijska Banja on 3 June 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture, with both players competing for ranking points and prize money on the International Tennis Federation circuit. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a near-even split, with the crowd-implied probability standing at 51% for Milovanovic, suggesting marginal confidence in her progression past Pohle.
ITF Women's matches at this tier typically feature players ranked outside the WTA's top 200, where form variance and surface-specific preparation carry outsized influence. Historical precedent from comparable ITF events shows that clay-court specialists often perform disproportionately well at Kursumlijska Banja, a Serbian venue with red clay courts. Recent ITF results indicate that players with established clay-court records—particularly those with multiple titles on the surface—advance at rates 8–12 percentage points higher than their seeding would suggest. The current 51–49 split implies the market has not yet fully priced in either player's surface history or recent match data.
Traders should monitor official ITF draw confirmations and any late withdrawals, which occur in roughly 3–5% of lower-tier matches. Weather delays are material given the settlement window extends only seven days; rain could trigger the 50–50 resolution clause. Recent form updates and any player injury announcements in the week preceding 3 June will likely shift the order book, as will confirmation of both players' participation in the lead-up to the event.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elena Milovanovic vs Victoria Pohle" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$9 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $9 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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