Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Loan Lestir and Izan Almazan Valiente in the ITF Men Monastir, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 7:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Loan Lestir' if Loan Lestir advances against Izan Almazan Valiente. This market will resolve to 'Izan Almazan Valiente' if Izan Almazan Valiente advances against Loan Lestir. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Monastir: Loan Lestir vs Izan Almazan Valiente | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Loan Lestir and Izan Almazan Valiente are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Monastir tournament on 29 May 2026, with the match set for 07:15 ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for Lestir's advancement, suggesting the market has assigned near-certain victory to Almazan Valiente or perceives substantial uncertainty around match completion. This extreme positioning typically emerges when one player holds a pronounced ranking or recent-form advantage, or when liquidity remains sparse in early-stage markets for lower-tier ITF events.
ITF Monastir tournaments attract developing professionals, and historical data shows that ranking disparities at this level often translate into decisive outcomes. However, the 0% probability also reflects the illiquidity common to niche tennis markets; with limited order-book depth, even modest backing of Lestir could shift the implied probability meaningfully. Traders should monitor official ITF and ATP Challenger Tour announcements regarding player withdrawals or schedule changes, as the settlement window extends to 5 June 2026—providing a seven-day buffer for delayed matches before resolution defaults to 50-50.
Key variables include late withdrawals due to injury or scheduling conflicts, which occur regularly on the ITF circuit, and surface conditions at the Monastir venue, which can favour particular playing styles. Recent player form and head-to-head records, where available, should be cross-referenced against current seedings to assess whether the market's extreme positioning reflects genuine information asymmetry or simply thin liquidity.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Monastir: Loan Lestir vs Izan Almazan Valiente" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$4K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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