Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Irem Kurt and Demi Tran in the ITF Women Kayseri, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Irem Kurt' if Irem Kurt advances against Demi Tran. This market will resolve to 'Demi Tran' if Demi Tran advances against Irem Kurt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kayseri: Irem Kurt vs Demi Tran | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Irem Kurt and Demi Tran are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's Kayseri tournament on 24 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture on the International Tennis Federation circuit, where both players compete for ranking points and prize money. Settlement occurs on 31 May 2026, allowing a seven-day window for completion.
The current order book on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for resolution, suggesting traders perceive near-certainty that the match will be contested and produce a decisive outcome. ITF-level matches typically proceed as scheduled unless weather, injury, or administrative issues intervene. Historical data on ITF Women's events shows cancellation rates below 5% and completion rates exceeding 95% when matches commence. The probability formation reflects confidence in standard tournament execution rather than fundamental assessment of either player's likelihood of victory.
Traders should monitor ITF Kayseri's official draw confirmations and any weather alerts for the Kayseri region in late May. Player injury announcements in the fortnight preceding the event would constitute material catalysts for market repricing. The settlement window's seven-day buffer accommodates typical tournament scheduling, though delays beyond this threshold would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Recent ITF tournament reports indicate consistent scheduling adherence, though individual player withdrawals remain an ongoing consideration in lower-tier professional tennis.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kayseri: Irem Kurt vs Demi Tran" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$8K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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