Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Nico Hipfl and Pablo Perez Ramos in the ITF Men Hurghada, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 2:36PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nico Hipfl' if Nico Hipfl advances against Pablo Perez Ramos. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Perez Ramos' if Pablo Perez Ramos advances against Nico Hipfl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Hurghada: Nico Hipfl vs Pablo Perez Ramos | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Nico Hipfl and Pablo Perez Ramos are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Hurghada tournament on 13 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture on the ITF circuit, where both players typically compete for ranking points and prize money. The current order book on Polymarket shows a 100% implied probability for Hipfl's advancement, suggesting either substantial backing for the Austrian player or minimal liquidity in the market at present. Such extreme probabilities in tennis markets often reflect incomplete information rather than certainty, particularly in ITF-level matches where detailed pre-match analysis and betting syndicate activity remain limited compared to ATP or Grand Slam events.
ITF Men's circuit matches at this level historically exhibit volatile outcomes relative to seeding and ranking differentials. Hipfl, an Austrian player competing regularly on the ITF circuit, would need to demonstrate consistent form and injury-free status heading into May. Perez Ramos, a Spanish competitor on the same circuit tier, represents the challenger position. The settlement window extends to 20 May 2026, providing a seven-day buffer beyond the scheduled date; matches abandoned or delayed beyond this window without completion would trigger a 50-50 resolution.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations, player injury announcements, and any schedule adjustments from the ITF Hurghada organisers in the weeks preceding the event. Recent ITF tournament reports typically emerge via the ATP/ITF official website and regional tennis federations. Court conditions, weather forecasts for Hurghada in May, and late-stage player withdrawals represent material catalysts that could shift market pricing materially from its current extreme position.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Hurghada: Nico Hipfl vs Pablo Perez Ramos" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$21K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $21K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 20 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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