Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Tilwith Di Girolami and Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas in the ITF Women Bucharest, originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 3:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tilwith Di Girolami' if Tilwith Di Girolami advances against Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas. This market will resolve to 'Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas' if Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas advances against Tilwith Di Girolami. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Bucharest: Tilwith Di Girolami vs Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 56% YES | 44% NO |
| Completed Match | 49% YES | 51% NO |
Tilwith Di Girolami faces Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas in an ITF Women's tournament match in Bucharest, originally scheduled for 14 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 57% implied probability for Di Girolami's advancement, suggesting the market views her as a modest favourite. Settlement occurs on 21 May 2026, allowing a seven-day window beyond the scheduled date for the match to conclude; any cancellation, tie, or unresolved outcome beyond that window triggers a 50-50 resolution.
ITF Women's circuit matches at this tier typically feature players ranked outside the top 200, where head-to-head records and recent form carry substantial weight in determining outcomes. Di Girolami's current probability reflects either a recent uptick in her ranking trajectory, documented wins against comparable opposition, or favourable draw positioning within the tournament structure. Dorofeeva-Rybas, holding the remaining 43% implied probability, represents a credible challenger—ITF tournaments frequently produce upsets when lower-ranked players execute strong baseline play or capitalise on serve-and-volley opportunities.
Traders should monitor tournament draws and any late withdrawals or schedule adjustments announced closer to the event date. Weather conditions in Bucharest during mid-May occasionally force rescheduling of outdoor clay or hard courts. Injury updates or player participation confirmations, typically released 48 hours before matches, will clarify whether both competitors remain active in the draw. The seven-day settlement buffer provides some protection against minor delays, though extended rain or venue issues could still trigger the 50-50 resolution clause.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Bucharest: Tilwith Di Girolami vs Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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