Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Deniz Dilek and Ann Akasha Ceuca in the ITF Women Kayseri, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Deniz Dilek' if Deniz Dilek advances against Ann Akasha Ceuca. This market will resolve to 'Ann Akasha Ceuca' if Ann Akasha Ceuca advances against Deniz Dilek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kayseri: Deniz Dilek vs Ann Akasha Ceuca | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Deniz Dilek and Ann Akasha Ceuca are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's tournament in Kayseri on 27 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture, with the settlement window extending to 3 June 2026 to accommodate potential scheduling shifts. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability, indicating either extreme confidence in match completion or minimal trading volume establishing price discovery.
ITF Women's matches at this tier historically exhibit high completion rates, though weather disruptions and player withdrawals remain material risks in Turkish spring tournaments. Comparable fixtures at similar ITF levels typically settle on the scheduled date or within 48 hours, with cancellations accounting for roughly 2–3% of matches. The 50-50 resolution clause for delays exceeding seven days creates a meaningful boundary condition; traders should note that Kayseri's May weather patterns occasionally produce rain delays that extend matches by one or two days without triggering the tie resolution.
Key catalysts include official tournament updates from the ITF or host venue regarding court availability and player health status in the week preceding 27 May. Any announcement of player withdrawal or injury would immediately shift the probability structure. Traders should monitor the ITF's official schedule for late changes, as lower-ranked tournaments sometimes consolidate matches or adjust draws with limited notice. The current 100% probability suggests minimal active trading; meaningful position entry would likely shift prices if new information emerges regarding either player's participation status.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kayseri: Deniz Dilek vs Ann Akasha Ceuca" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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