Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Theodore Dean and Spencer Johnson in the ITF Men Lakewood, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Theodore Dean' if Theodore Dean advances against Spencer Johnson. This market will resolve to 'Spencer Johnson' if Spencer Johnson advances against Theodore Dean. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Lakewood: Theodore Dean vs Spencer Johnson | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Theodore Dean and Spencer Johnson are scheduled to compete in an ITF Men's event at Lakewood on 29 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture where both players will be competing for ranking points and prize money. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero probability assigned to Dean's victory, suggesting either minimal trading activity or strong market conviction favouring Johnson's advancement. With settlement occurring on 5 June 2026, traders have approximately two weeks from the scheduled date to assess outcomes.
ITF Men's matches at this level typically feature significant variance in player form and preparation. Historical data on comparable fixtures shows that seeding disparities and recent match records often diverge substantially from opening market prices, particularly when liquidity is thin. Johnson may carry higher ranking credentials or recent results justifying the current probability skew, though Dean's presence in the draw indicates competitive standing within the ITF circuit.
Traders should monitor official ITF and tournament announcements regarding player withdrawals, injuries, or schedule changes. The seven-day grace period for delayed matches creates a settlement window extending to early June. Recent form indicators—such as qualifying round results or head-to-head records if available—will become clearer as the tournament approaches. Any withdrawal by either player before the scheduled date would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, fundamentally altering current market positioning.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Lakewood: Theodore Dean vs Spencer Johnson" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$464 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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