Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Martina Colmegna and Aurora Zantedeschi in the ITF Women Caserta, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martina Colmegna' if Martina Colmegna advances against Aurora Zantedeschi. This market will resolve to 'Aurora Zantedeschi' if Aurora Zantedeschi advances against Martina Colmegna. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Caserta: Martina Colmegna vs Aurora Zantedeschi | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Martina Colmegna and Aurora Zantedeschi are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's circuit event at Caserta on 3 June 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture, with both players competing for ranking points and prize money within the International Tennis Federation's developmental tour structure. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either an absence of liquidity in this particular market or a technical listing issue, as both players have documented competitive records and the match carries standard settlement conditions.
ITF Women's matches at this level typically feature players ranked outside the WTA's top 200, where outcomes remain genuinely uncertain and historical head-to-head records are often sparse or non-existent. Colmegna and Zantedeschi's comparative records on clay courts—the surface at Caserta—would provide the most relevant baseline for assessing relative form, though ITF circuit results can be volatile given the variable quality of opposition. The current zero probability suggests minimal market participation rather than consensus certainty about either player's advancement.
Traders monitoring this fixture should track official ITF tournament confirmations and any withdrawal announcements, which typically emerge in the week preceding competition. Weather conditions at the Caserta venue could affect scheduling, particularly given the early morning start time listed. The settlement window extends to 10 June, providing a seven-day buffer for delayed matches, though completion within the scheduled window remains the baseline expectation for ITF events.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Caserta: Martina Colmegna vs Aurora Zantedeschi" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$117 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $103 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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