Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Elizabeth Coleman and Katarina Kuzmova in the ITF Women Montemor-O-Novo, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elizabeth Coleman' if Elizabeth Coleman advances against Katarina Kuzmova. This market will resolve to 'Katarina Kuzmova' if Katarina Kuzmova advances against Elizabeth Coleman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Elizabeth Coleman vs Katarina Kuzmova | 27% YES | 74% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Elizabeth Coleman and Katarina Kuzmova are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's circuit event at Montemor-O-Novo, Portugal on 3 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Coleman's victory at 28 per cent, reflecting a substantial underdog position against her opponent. The settlement window closes on 10 June, allowing a seven-day buffer for match completion or rescheduling before the market resolves to a 50-50 split.
Coleman, an American player competing primarily on the ITF circuit, faces a challenging matchup against Kuzmova, a Slovak competitor with more established ranking credentials. Historical ITF Women's matches at this tier typically favour players with consistent tour experience and higher career rankings. Kuzmova's presence in the draw suggests she carries the technical advantage, which aligns with the current 72 per cent implied probability for her victory. The 28 per cent price for Coleman reflects either perceived value in her chances or uncertainty regarding her recent form and match fitness.
Traders should monitor ITF tournament announcements for any schedule changes or withdrawals in the days preceding 3 June. Weather conditions at the Portuguese venue could affect match timing or completion. Recent ITF results for both players will provide updated form indicators closer to the settlement window. Any injury reports or late withdrawals would trigger immediate repricing on the order book, as would confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Elizabeth Coleman vs Katarina Kuzmova" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$281 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $281 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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