Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriele Bosio and Ivan Iutkin in the ITF Men Tsaghkadzor, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Bosio' if Gabriele Bosio advances against Ivan Iutkin. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Iutkin' if Ivan Iutkin advances against Gabriele Bosio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Tsaghkadzor: Gabriele Bosio vs Ivan Iutkin | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Gabriele Bosio and Ivan Iutkin are scheduled to contest a men's singles match at the ITF Tsaghkadzor tournament on 29 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Bosio's advancement, suggesting either overwhelming confidence in his victory or minimal liquidity at present price levels. This extreme probability warrants scrutiny, as ITF Futures events—particularly at lower-tier venues—frequently experience fixture volatility and incomplete information regarding player form and availability.
ITF Men's circuit matches at regional tournaments show considerable variance in outcome predictability. Bosio, an Italian professional, and Iutkin, a Russian competitor, operate within the lower-ranked professional and semi-professional tiers where seeding, recent match history, and surface preference carry outsized importance. The absence of recent head-to-head records or widely publicised form data for both players at this venue makes the 100% probability suspect; comparable ITF fixtures typically trade with 55–75% implied probabilities for favourites unless one player holds a decisive ranking or recent-form advantage.
Traders should monitor official ITF tournament draws and player withdrawal announcements through late May, as scheduling changes and late scratches are common at regional events. Surface conditions at Tsaghkadzor (clay courts) and any last-minute injury disclosures will affect the match outcome. The settlement window closes 5 June 2026, allowing seven days beyond the scheduled date for completion; however, any cancellation or unfinished match without a determined winner triggers a 50–50 resolution. Current liquidity appears thin, suggesting the extreme probability may reflect limited order-book depth rather than genuine market consensus.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Tsaghkadzor: Gabriele Bosio vs Ivan Iutkin" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$5K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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