Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Alessandro Bellifemine and Andrea Fiorentini in the ITF Men Kranjska Gora, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alessandro Bellifemine' if Alessandro Bellifemine advances against Andrea Fiorentini. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Fiorentini' if Andrea Fiorentini advances against Alessandro Bellifemine. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kranjska Gora: Alessandro Bellifemine vs Andrea Fiorentini | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Alessandro Bellifemine and Andrea Fiorentini are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's circuit event at Kranjska Gora on 27 May 2026. The match forms part of the lower-tier professional tennis calendar, where both players typically compete to accumulate ranking points and prize money. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Bellifemine's advancement, suggesting either substantial backing for the Italian player or minimal liquidity in the market at present.
ITF matches at this level carry higher cancellation and withdrawal rates than ATP events, given the lower financial stakes and player commitments. Historical precedent across comparable ITF tournaments shows that matches occasionally fail to materialise due to injury, scheduling conflicts, or player withdrawals announced shortly before play. The seven-day resolution window built into this market's terms accounts for potential delays, though most ITF fixtures proceed as scheduled or are called off entirely rather than postponed.
Traders should monitor the official ITF entry lists and any announcements from the Kranjska Gora tournament organisers in the week preceding 27 May. Recent player injury reports or ranking-point calculations that might affect either competitor's participation warrant attention. Weather conditions in Slovenia during late May could theoretically delay proceedings, though this rarely extends beyond the settlement window. The extreme probability reading suggests limited market depth; any material news regarding either player's fitness or availability would likely shift pricing substantially.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kranjska Gora: Alessandro Bellifemine vs Andrea Fiorentini" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$55 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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