Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasija Adeikyte and Alina Nesmianovych in the ITF Women Banja Luka, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anastasija Adeikyte' if Anastasija Adeikyte advances against Alina Nesmianovych. This market will resolve to 'Alina Nesmianovych' if Alina Nesmianovych advances against Anastasija Adeikyte. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Banja Luka: Anastasija Adeikyte vs Alina Nesmianovych | 83% YES | 17% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Anastasija Adeikyte and Alina Nesmianovych are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's tournament at Banja Luka on 3 June 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional fixture on the International Tennis Federation circuit, where both players typically compete to accumulate ranking points and prize money. The current 50-50 split on Polymarket's order book reflects genuine uncertainty between two competitors with comparable recent form and ranking trajectories.
Both players operate within the ITF 25K and 15K tournament ecosystem, where results are volatile and head-to-head records often carry limited predictive weight. Adeikyte, competing primarily on the ITF circuit, has shown inconsistent results across clay and hard courts, whilst Nesmianovych similarly lacks a dominant surface or tournament record that would suggest clear superiority. Historical ITF Women's matches at this level typically favour neither player based on seeding alone, and the 50-50 probability reflects the absence of decisive statistical advantages in recent performance data.
Traders should monitor official ITF and tournament draw confirmations as the scheduled date approaches, particularly any withdrawal announcements or late player substitutions that could trigger the 50-50 tie-break resolution clause. Weather conditions at Banja Luka in early June may affect surface play and match scheduling. The settlement window closes 7 days post-scheduled date, meaning delays beyond 10 June would resolve the market to 50-50 rather than await completion. Confirmation of the final draw and any player fitness updates closer to the event date will be the primary catalysts affecting probability movement.
The 2025 ITF Bengaluru Open is a professional tennis tournament played on outdoor hard courts.It is the second edition of the tournament which is part of the 2025 ITF Women's World Tennis Tour. It took place in Bengaluru, India between 20 and 26 January 2025.
The 2026 ITF Bengaluru Open is a professional tennis tournament played on outdoor hard courts.It is the third edition of the tournament which is part of the 2026 ITF Women's World Tennis Tour. It took place in Bengaluru, India between 16 and 22 February 2026.
The ITF Bengaluru Open is a tournament for professional female tennis players played on outdoor Hard courts. The event is classified as a $100,000 ITF Women's Circuit tournament and has been held in Bengaluru, India, since 2024.
Irfan Jauhari is an Indonesian professional footballer who plays as a winger or forward for Super League club Persis Solo.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Banja Luka: Anastasija Adeikyte vs Alina Nesmianovych" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$127 in lifetime turnover and $656 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $127 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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