Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Henrique Rocha and Remy Bertola in the Perugia, originally scheduled for June 5, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Henrique Rocha' if Henrique Rocha advances against Remy Bertola. This market will resolve to 'Remy Bertola' if Remy Bertola advances against Henrique Rocha. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Remy Bertola | 69% YES | 32% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Remy Bertola Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 34% YES | 66% NO |
| Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Remy Bertola Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Remy Bertola Match O/U 22.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Remy Bertola Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 58% YES | 42% NO |
| Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Remy Bertola Match O/U 21.5 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Remy Bertola Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Henrique Rocha and Remy Bertola are scheduled to meet in the Perugia ATP Challenger tournament on 5 June 2026. The market currently prices Rocha's advancement at 69% on Polymarket's order book, reflecting a modest but clear favourite status. Settlement occurs by 12 June 2026, allowing a seven-day window for match completion or rescheduling before the 50-50 tie resolution triggers.
Rocha, a Brazilian player competing primarily on the Challenger circuit, has historically shown variable form across clay and hard courts. Bertola, a Swiss competitor, operates in similar ranking bands and tour categories. The 69% probability suggests the market perceives a meaningful but not dominant edge for Rocha—typical of matchups where one player holds marginal advantages in recent form, head-to-head record, or surface suitability rather than a clear skill gap. Comparable Challenger-level encounters between players of similar ranking typically settle in the 55–70% range depending on recent results and surface conditions.
Traders should monitor ATP Challenger scheduling confirmations and any injury announcements in the week preceding 5 June. Weather disruptions at Italian clay venues occasionally force rescheduling; the Perugia event's outdoor courts are subject to rain delays. Recent form updates—tournament results from May 2026 events—will likely shift the order book closer to the match date. Withdrawal announcements, whilst uncommon at this stage, would immediately trigger the 50-50 resolution clause and represent the primary tail risk to current positioning.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Remy Bertola" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$43 in lifetime turnover and $20K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $43 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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