Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Masamichi Imamura and Colton Smith in the Tyler, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 7:20PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Masamichi Imamura' if Masamichi Imamura advances against Colton Smith. This market will resolve to 'Colton Smith' if Colton Smith advances against Masamichi Imamura. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Tyler: Masamichi Imamura vs Colton Smith | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Masamichi Imamura faces Colton Smith in a tennis match scheduled for 3 June 2026 at 7:20 PM ET in Tyler. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Imamura's advancement, suggesting either overwhelming confidence in his superiority or minimal liquidity at the current price. Settlement occurs by 10 June 2026, allowing a seven-day window for completion; matches delayed beyond this period without a determined winner trigger a 50-50 resolution.
The pricing reflects limited historical precedent for direct comparison between these players at this venue. Imamura, a Japanese professional, has competed across ATP Challenger circuits with variable results depending on surface and opponent ranking. Smith, an American player, similarly operates within the Challenger ecosystem. The 100% probability on the order book likely indicates either sparse trading activity or a significant disparity in recent form that has priced out Smith entirely—a common pattern when one player holds a substantial ranking advantage or recent head-to-head record.
Traders should monitor official ATP or ITF announcements regarding player withdrawals, injuries, or schedule changes in the week preceding 3 June. Surface conditions at the Tyler venue and any late ranking shifts affecting seeding could shift sentiment. The seven-day settlement window creates minimal tail risk for weather delays, though weather-related postponements beyond that threshold would force a split resolution. Current liquidity appears thin given the extreme probability; meaningful position-taking may face slippage.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Tyler: Masamichi Imamura vs Colton Smith" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$32K in lifetime turnover and $83K of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1K in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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