Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Alastair Gray and Jie Cui in the Wuxi, originally scheduled for May 5, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alastair Gray' if Alastair Gray advances against Jie Cui. This market will resolve to 'Jie Cui' if Jie Cui advances against Alastair Gray. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Wuxi: Alastair Gray vs Jie Cui Set 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Wuxi: Alastair Gray vs Jie Cui Match O/U 21.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Wuxi: Alastair Gray vs Jie Cui Match O/U 22.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Wuxi: Alastair Gray vs Jie Cui Match O/U 23.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Wuxi: Alastair Gray vs Jie Cui Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Wuxi: Alastair Gray vs Jie Cui Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Wuxi: Alastair Gray vs Jie Cui Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Wuxi: Alastair Gray vs Jie Cui Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Alastair Gray and Jie Cui are scheduled to meet in a professional tennis match at Wuxi on 5 May 2026, with the market settlement window closing on 13 May. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Gray's advancement, suggesting either strong conviction in his form or minimal liquidity at present. This extreme probability typically emerges when one side of a match is heavily favoured by the betting market or when trading volume remains thin enough that a single large position can skew the displayed odds substantially.
Gray's recent performance trajectory and head-to-head record against Cui would ordinarily anchor expectations, though comparable ATP Challenger matches at Wuxi have historically seen upsets when lower-ranked players exploit specific court conditions or momentum shifts. The venue's hard court surface and May timing can favour aggressive baseline play, a factor that may weigh differently depending on each player's current fitness and recent tournament results.
Key developments to monitor include official confirmation of both players' participation as the match date approaches, any late withdrawals or injury announcements, and movement in Polymarket's order book as the event draws closer. Tournament scheduling delays or weather disruptions could trigger the 50-50 resolution clause if play extends beyond seven days without completion. Traders should track ATP rankings updates and any recent head-to-head matchup data released closer to the scheduled date, as these typically drive repricing in prediction markets for lower-profile professional tennis fixtures.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Wuxi: Alastair Gray vs Jie Cui" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$193K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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