Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Gille/Verbeek and Kadhe/Zormann in the Perugia, originally scheduled for June 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gille/Verbeek' if the team of Gille/Verbeek advances against Kadhe/Zormann. This market will resolve to 'Kadhe/Zormann' if the team of Kadhe/Zormann advances against Gille/Verbeek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Perugia (Doubles): Gille/Verbeek vs Kadhe/Zormann | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Gille and Verbeek face Kadhe and Zormann in a doubles match at the Perugia ATP 250 event, originally scheduled for 4 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating genuine uncertainty among traders regarding which pairing will advance. This even pricing suggests neither team holds a clear statistical edge based on recent form, ranking points, or head-to-head records available to the market.
Doubles outcomes at lower-tier ATP events typically hinge on seeding disparity and recent tournament momentum. Gille (Belgian, ranked around 80 in doubles) and Verbeek (Dutch) represent a mid-tier pairing, whilst Kadhe (Indian) and Zormann (Argentine) occupy comparable ranking territory. Historical precedent from similar Perugia-level draws shows that unseeded or lower-seeded pairings can upset higher-ranked combinations at roughly 40–60 frequency, particularly when one team has recent clay-court experience. The 50-50 pricing reflects this baseline volatility rather than a statistical coin flip.
Traders should monitor official ATP draw confirmations and any late withdrawals through to the settlement window closing on 11 June. Injury reports or late partner changes in the days before 4 June could shift the order book meaningfully. Weather delays at the Perugia venue, whilst uncommon in early June, would trigger the seven-day extension clause; any match pushed beyond 11 June without completion resolves to 50-50. Current liquidity and bid-ask spreads on Polymarket will indicate whether professional traders are building positions ahead of the event.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Perugia (Doubles): Gille/Verbeek vs Kadhe/Zormann" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $17 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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