Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Diez/Lopez and Seggerman/Winegar in the Perugia, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diez/Lopez' if the team of Diez/Lopez advances against Seggerman/Winegar. This market will resolve to 'Seggerman/Winegar' if the team of Seggerman/Winegar advances against Diez/Lopez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Perugia (Doubles): Diez/Lopez vs Seggerman/Winegar | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
The Perugia doubles draw will feature Diez and López against Seggerman and Winegar in what appears to be a qualifying or early-round fixture at the Italian ATP 250 event. The match was originally scheduled for 2 June 2026 at 4:00 AM ET, though the settlement window extends to 9 June, allowing for a seven-day window before the market defaults to 50-50 resolution. Current order book activity on Polymarket reflects a balanced assessment, with the crowd-implied probability sitting at exactly 50%, suggesting genuine uncertainty about the outcome rather than a clear favourite emerging from available information.
Comparable doubles matchups at Perugia-level tournaments typically see significant variance depending on partnership chemistry and recent form. Seeding disparities, injury status, and whether either pairing has played together recently will materially affect the probability. The 50% split on the order book indicates traders lack clear conviction data—likely reflecting limited recent head-to-head records or uncertainty about player availability closer to the event date.
Traders should monitor ATP official draws and player injury reports through early June, as late withdrawals or schedule adjustments are common at lower-tier events. Confirmation of both pairings' participation and any recent tournament results from May 2026 will provide concrete data points to shift the current equilibrium. The unusual 4:00 AM ET start time suggests this may be a qualifying match, which historically carries higher cancellation risk and weather dependency than main-draw fixtures.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Perugia (Doubles): Diez/Lopez vs Seggerman/Winegar" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $2 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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