Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Bertola/Forti and Albiero/Cappellaro in the Vicenza, originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bertola/Forti' if the team of Bertola/Forti advances against Albiero/Cappellaro. This market will resolve to 'Albiero/Cappellaro' if the team of Albiero/Cappellaro advances against Bertola/Forti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Vicenza (Doubles): Bertola/Forti vs Albiero/Cappellaro | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Bertola and Forti face Albiero and Cappellaro in a doubles match at the Vicenza tournament, originally scheduled for 26 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Bertola/Forti, suggesting the market has priced in either a strong expectation of their victory or significant uncertainty about match execution that traders have not yet arbitraged. This extreme probability reading warrants scrutiny given the settlement window extends to 2 June, allowing seven days for the match to conclude before resolution defaults to 50-50.
Italian domestic doubles draws at lower-tier ATP and Challenger events typically feature volatile seeding and unpredictable pairings. Historical precedent from similar regional tournaments shows that crowd-implied probabilities approaching certainty often reflect incomplete information about player form, recent partnership chemistry, or surface-specific advantages rather than genuine skill gaps. Albiero and Cappellaro, as home players at Vicenza, may carry tactical familiarity that standard rankings do not capture.
Traders should monitor official tournament scheduling updates and any withdrawal announcements from the ATP or tournament organisers in the week preceding 26 May. Surface conditions at Vicenza—typically clay—and recent hard-court results from both pairings will signal whether the current probability reflects genuine dominance or mispricing. Any schedule slippage beyond the original date introduces material tail risk given the seven-day resolution window.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Vicenza (Doubles): Bertola/Forti vs Albiero/Cappellaro" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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