Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the table tennis match between Sweden and Hungary in a WTT event, scheduled for May 4 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sweden' if Sweden wins against Hungary. This market will resolve to 'Hungary' if Hungary wins against Sweden. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| WTT - Men's Singles: Sweden vs Hungary | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Sweden and Hungary are scheduled to meet in men's singles table tennis at a WTT event on 4 May 2026, with the match commencing at 12:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket shows a 100% implied probability for Sweden, reflecting either exceptionally strong confidence in the Swedish side or extremely thin liquidity at the current price. Settlement occurs on 11 May, allowing a seven-day window for match completion; any cancellation, tie, or unresolved outcome beyond that period triggers a 50-50 resolution.
Historical WTT matchups between Nordic and Central European nations typically favour established table tennis powers, though Sweden's ranking advantage over Hungary would need verification against current ITTF standings to assess whether the market probability reflects genuine form differential or pricing inefficiency. Recent WTT events have seen competitive upsets, particularly when lower-ranked players face seeding expectations, suggesting the 100% reading warrants scrutiny against actual player pairings and recent head-to-head records.
Traders should monitor WTT official announcements regarding player lineups, which typically confirm days before competition. Injury withdrawals or late roster changes could materially shift the match outcome. Additionally, any scheduling disruptions affecting the 4 May fixture—weather delays at the venue, administrative issues, or player unavailability—would trigger the seven-day resolution clause. Current market depth appears minimal given the extreme probability, suggesting limited arbitrage opportunities unless fresh information emerges regarding player status or form changes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.worldtabletennis.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "WTT - Men's Singles: Sweden vs Hungary" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$164 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.worldtabletennis.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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