Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Ukraine Premier Liha game between FK LNZ Cherkasy and SK Poltava, scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. SK Poltava match originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
FK LNZ Cherkasy will face SK Poltava in the Ukrainian Premier Liha on 13 May 2026, with settlement determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market currently reflects a 50% implied probability across Polymarket's order book, suggesting traders are pricing substantial uncertainty around the exact scoreline. This even split indicates no single outcome has crystallised as dominant among market participants, with liquidity distributed across multiple score possibilities rather than concentrated on one result.
Historical matchups between these clubs and their recent form in the Premier Liha provide context for assessing outcome likelihood. FK LNZ Cherkasy and SK Poltava occupy different positions in the league table, with their head-to-head record and goal-scoring patterns informing baseline expectations for the scoreline. Teams' defensive solidity and attacking output in recent fixtures—particularly in the weeks immediately preceding this match—typically correlate with whether markets should expect low-scoring draws, narrow wins, or higher-scoring affairs.
Traders should monitor team news regarding injuries, suspensions, or tactical shifts in the fortnight before the fixture. Fixture congestion in the final weeks of the Ukrainian season may affect squad rotation decisions. Any official postponement announcements would keep the market open until completion, creating timing risk for settlement. Weather conditions on match day and any late managerial changes could shift the probability distribution across specific scorelines, particularly affecting whether the market sustains its current balanced pricing or consolidates around outcomes favouring one club.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://upl.ua/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. SK Poltava - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $54 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://upl.ua/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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