Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Copa Sudamericana game, scheduled for May 6 at 6:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Montevideo City Torque (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| CD Palestino (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Montevideo City Torque (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| CD Palestino (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Montevideo City Torque will face CD Palestino in a Copa Sudamericana fixture on 6 May 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 6:00 PM ET. The match represents a continental competition encounter between the Uruguayan club and their Chilean counterparts, with the result carrying implications for progression in South America's secondary club tournament. The current order book on Polymarket shows a 0% implied probability for the "More Markets" outcome, suggesting traders are pricing minimal conviction or liquidity around additional market offerings for this particular fixture.
Copa Sudamericana matches typically attract modest secondary market activity compared to Copa Libertadores or domestic league fixtures. Historical patterns show that matches involving mid-tier South American clubs generate limited derivative betting interest, which may explain the sparse probability formation on Polymarket's order book. The settlement window closing on 6 May at 22:00 UTC provides a tight timeframe for market development, particularly given the match's evening ET start time.
Traders should monitor fixture confirmation and any squad availability announcements from either club in the days preceding the match. Weather conditions in Montevideo or potential scheduling adjustments could influence market depth. The Copa Sudamericana's lower commercial profile compared to continental alternatives means additional markets may depend on broader platform activity rather than organic demand for this specific encounter.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.conmebol.com/sudamericana/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$22K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.conmebol.com/sudamericana/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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