Trade: AS Roma vs. SS Lazio - Exact Score
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Serie A game between AS Roma and SS Lazio, scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the AS Roma vs. SS Lazio match originally scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $5K
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 33% YES | 68% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 34% YES | 67% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 32% YES | 69% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 27% YES | 74% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 35% YES | 65% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 31% YES | 69% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 28% YES | 72% NO |
Market context
AS Roma and SS Lazio will meet in a Serie A fixture on 17 May 2026, with settlement determined by the final score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The current order book on Polymarket prices an exact-score outcome at 7% implied probability, reflecting the mathematical rarity of predicting a specific scoreline in professional football. With dozens of possible exact outcomes across the listed options and "Any Other Score" as a catch-all, individual scorelines naturally carry low probabilities; the 7% figure suggests traders view this particular outcome as marginally less likely than the baseline expectation for a single scoreline in a competitive fixture.
Historical Serie A derbies between Roma and Lazio show considerable variance in final scores. Recent encounters have produced results ranging from 1–1 draws to 3–1 victories, with no single scoreline appearing with unusual frequency. The probability distribution across exact scores typically reflects both teams' attacking and defensive capabilities, home-ground advantage, and seasonal form. Roma's recent Serie A performance and Lazio's competitive standing will anchor trader expectations; any significant injury announcements or tactical shifts in the weeks preceding the match could shift the order book's pricing across specific scorelines.
Traders should monitor team news through May, particularly regarding key player availability and any fixture congestion that might affect squad rotation. Polymarket's order book will adjust as match day approaches and more information crystallises. The settlement window closes at 13:00 GMT on 17 May, allowing traders to adjust positions based on pre-match conditions and early team-sheet confirmations.
Wikipedia Context
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AS RomaAssociazione Sportiva Roma is a professional football club based in Rome, Italy. Founded by a merger in 1927, Roma has participated in the top tier of Italian football for all of its existence, except for the 1951–52 season. Roma has won Serie A three times, in 1941–42, 1982–83 and 2000–01, as well as nine Coppa Italia titles and two Supercoppa Italiana titl
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AS Roma in European football
These are the matches that Roma have played in European football competitions. The club's first entry into European football was the 1958–60 Inter-Cities Fairs Cup, with their first official entry in the 1969–70 European Cup Winners' Cup, a competition where it had an Italian record six-time appearances.
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AS Roma (women)
Associazione Sportiva Roma, commonly referred to as simply Roma or Roma Femminile and Roma Women, is an Italian women's association football club based in Rome, section of the homonymous professional football club. It was established in 2018 by acquiring the Serie A license of SSD Res Roma. The team competes in Serie A and debuted in 2018–19 season.
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AS Roma Hall of FameThis is a list of AS Roma players who have been inducted into the club's Hall of Fame.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.legaseriea.it/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "AS Roma vs. SS Lazio - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $5K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.legaseriea.it/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "AS Roma vs. SS Lazio - Exact Score"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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