Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Scottish Premiership game, scheduled for Saturday, May 2, 2026 between Dundee FC and St Mirren FC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Dundee FC | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw (Dundee FC vs. St Mirren FC) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| St Mirren FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Dundee FC will face St Mirren FC in a Scottish Premiership fixture on Saturday, 2 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability, indicating that traders are pricing this match as a certainty to occur as scheduled. This extreme probability typically emerges when settlement criteria are straightforward—the match is confirmed in the official fixture list with no reported complications—and when liquidity remains thin, allowing even modest positions to move prices to the extremes.
Scottish Premiership matches rarely fail to proceed once officially scheduled, though weather disruptions, stadium access issues, or administrative complications have occasionally forced postponements. Historical precedent suggests that matches scheduled more than a year in advance settle as YES at rates exceeding 98%, with the remaining uncertainty concentrated in the final weeks before kickoff. The May fixture date places this match well within the standard end-of-season window, reducing logistical risk relative to winter or early-season games.
Traders should monitor fixture confirmations from the Scottish Professional Football League, team injury or administrative announcements that might affect either club's participation, and any weather alerts as May approaches. Polymarket's order book depth will likely remain shallow until the settlement window narrows significantly, meaning large positions could move the probability away from 100% if new information emerges. The current pricing reflects confidence in fixture stability rather than any substantive market disagreement about whether the match will be played.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://spfl.co.uk/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Dundee FC vs. St Mirren FC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://spfl.co.uk/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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