Trade: Power Slap 20: Irakli Kikashvili vs. Bryan Scambler (Fight 4)-arch
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Irakli Kikashvili" if Irakli Kikashvili is officially declared the winner of the fight against Bryan Scambler at Power Slap 20, scheduled for May 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Bryan Scambler" if Bryan Scambler is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from Power Slap.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $0
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| Irakli Kikashvili vs. Bryan Scambler | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Kikashvili to win by KO/TKO? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Scambler to win by KO/TKO? | — | |
Market context
Power Slap 20 will feature a slap-fighting match between Georgian competitor Irakli Kikashvili and American Bryan Scambler on 15 May 2026. The event marks the fourth scheduled bout between these two athletes within the Power Slap promotion. Currently, Polymarket's order book reflects a 50-50 split probability, indicating substantial uncertainty amongst traders regarding the outcome. This even pricing suggests neither competitor holds a decisive edge in market assessment at present.
Kikashvili and Scambler's previous encounters provide limited predictive value given the inherent variance in slap-fighting competition. Unlike combat sports with established technical hierarchies, Power Slap outcomes depend heavily on individual performance on the day, with factors including hand speed, chin durability, and psychological resilience proving difficult to quantify across multiple meetings. Their head-to-head record and stylistic matchups remain relevant data points, though the format's relative youth means historical patterns carry less weight than in traditional combat sports.
Traders should monitor official Power Slap announcements regarding fighter health status and any schedule adjustments prior to the 29 May deadline. Weigh-in results and pre-fight commentary from promotion officials may surface information affecting competitive readiness. The settlement window closes 16 May at 03:59:59 UTC, allowing minimal time for post-fight resolution. Any cancellation, postponement beyond 29 May, or draw declaration triggers the 50-50 resolution clause, creating additional contingency risk beyond simple match outcome uncertainty.
Wikipedia Context
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Power SlapPower Slap is an American slap fighting promotion company owned by Dana White, the chief executive officer of the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC).
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Power supply unit (computer)A power supply unit (PSU) converts mains AC to low-voltage regulated DC power for the internal components of a desktop computer. Modern personal computers universally use switched-mode power supplies. Some power supplies have a manual switch for selecting input voltage, while others automatically adapt to the main voltage.
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Power stationA power station, also referred to as a power plant and sometimes generating station or generating plant, is an industrial facility for the generation of electric power. Power stations are generally connected to an electrical grid.
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Power supplyA power supply is an electrical device that supplies electric power to an electrical load. The main purpose of a power supply is to convert electric current from a source to the correct voltage, current, and frequency to power the load. As a result, power supplies are sometimes referred to as electric power converters. Some power supplies are separate standa
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.powerslap.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Power Slap 20: Irakli Kikashvili vs. Bryan Scambler (Fight 4)-arch" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.powerslap.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Power Slap 20: Irakli Kikashvili vs. Bryan Scambler (Fight 4)-arch"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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