Trade: CS Cristal vs. AD Tarma - Exact Score
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between CS Cristal and AD Tarma, scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CS Cristal vs. AD Tarma match originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $221
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 3-1 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-3 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-2 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-3 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
Market context
CS Cristal and AD Tarma will meet in Peru's Liga 1 on 24 May 2026, with settlement at 16:00 UTC. The market currently reflects a 49% implied probability for the exact final score outcome, suggesting traders view this as a competitive fixture with meaningful uncertainty around the precise scoreline. Polymarket's order book is pricing this near even odds, indicating balanced positioning between backers of specific scorelines and those holding "Any Other Score" positions.
Cristal have historically dominated Peruvian football, winning multiple Liga 1 titles and consistently finishing in the upper half of the table. Tarma, by contrast, operates as a mid-table side with less consistent performance. When examining comparable Liga 1 matches between top-four clubs and mid-table opponents, exact scorelines cluster around 2–0, 1–0, and 2–1 results, though the frequency of "Any Other Score" outcomes typically ranges between 35–45% depending on the specific pairing and form. The current 49% probability suggests the market is pricing in either a relatively open contest or meaningful uncertainty about Cristal's ability to produce a dominant performance.
Key variables for traders include team news closer to match day—particularly injury status for Cristal's attacking personnel—and recent Liga 1 form trends in late May. Tarma's defensive record and whether they field a compact setup will influence whether Cristal generates multiple clear chances. Weather conditions in Lima on match day and any fixture congestion affecting either squad's preparation warrant monitoring through official Peru Liga 1 announcements in the weeks preceding the fixture.
Wikipedia Context
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CS Crișul AleșdClub Sportiv Crișul Aleșd, commonly known as Crișul Aleșd, is a Romanian professional football club based in Aleșd, Romania, founded in 1921. Currently the team plays in Liga IV – Bihor County.
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CS Crișul Chișineu-CrișClubul Sportiv Crișul Chișineu-Criș, commonly known as Crișul Chișineu-Criș, or simply Crișul Chișineu, is a Romanian professional football club based in Chișineu-Criș, Arad County. Crișul played in Liga III for twelve years, between 1985–1992 and 2018–2023. The most important result was a 2nd place, achieved at the end of the 2020–21 season qualifying for p
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Christopher Cristaldo
Christopher Cristaldo Zambrini is a Paraguayan-born Australian footballer who plays as a forward for Moreland City.
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Linda CristalMarta Victoria Moya Peggo Burges, known professionally as Linda Cristal, was an Argentine–American actress. She appeared in a number of Western films during the 1950s, before winning a Golden Globe Award for her performance in the 1958 comedy film The Perfect Furlough.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://liga1.pe/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "CS Cristal vs. AD Tarma - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $221 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://liga1.pe/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 24 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "CS Cristal vs. AD Tarma - Exact Score"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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