Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the NWSL game, scheduled for May 29 at 7:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Orlando Pride (-1.5) | 45% YES | 56% NO |
| Bay FC (-1.5) | 39% YES | 62% NO |
| Orlando Pride (-2.5) | 38% YES | 62% NO |
| Bay FC (-2.5) | 40% YES | 60% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 61% YES | 39% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 54% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 51% YES | 49% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
Orlando Pride will face Bay FC in a National Women's Soccer League fixture on 29 May at 7:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 45% implied probability for the "More Markets" outcome, suggesting moderate uncertainty amongst traders regarding secondary market activity or additional betting opportunities tied to this match.
NWSL regular-season fixtures typically generate consistent trading volume, though secondary market proliferation depends partly on match significance and broader league scheduling patterns. Orlando Pride finished the 2024 season in mid-table, whilst Bay FC, as a newer franchise, has shown variable form. Historical precedent suggests that matches between established and expansion-era sides attract standard liquidity rather than exceptional speculative interest, which may explain the current probability's positioning near equilibrium.
Key variables for traders include team news and injury updates in the days preceding the fixture, as roster changes can shift perceived match competitiveness and thus secondary market appetite. The NWSL's fixture congestion in late May—with potential playoff implications already taking shape—may influence whether additional prop markets or derivative contracts materialise. Weather conditions at the venue and any scheduling conflicts affecting player availability should be monitored through official league communications and team announcements. The settlement window closes at 23:00 UTC on 29 May, providing a narrow window for resolution once the match concludes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.nwslsoccer.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Orlando Pride vs. Bay FC - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$12 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.nwslsoccer.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 29 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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