Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between Rosenborg BK and Aalesunds FK, scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Rosenborg BK vs. Aalesunds FK match originally scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 46% YES | 55% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 47% YES | 53% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 46% YES | 54% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 14% YES | 86% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 46% YES | 55% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 46% YES | 55% NO |
Rosenborg BK will face Aalesunds FK in a Norway Eliteserien fixture on 16 May 2026, with the match kicking off at 15:00 CET. The market resolves on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with any scoreline not explicitly listed settling as "Any Other Score." The current 50% implied probability reflects substantial uncertainty across Polymarket's order book, suggesting traders are pricing this as a genuinely competitive encounter with no clear consensus on the likely outcome.
Rosenborg are historically Norway's most successful club with 26 league titles, though their recent form has been inconsistent. Aalesund, by contrast, operates as a mid-table side with limited championship pedigree. In comparable Eliteserien matchups between established powerhouses and mid-tier opponents, exact-score markets typically see the most liquid trading around 2–1, 1–0, and 2–0 outcomes, reflecting both the quality differential and the inherent difficulty of predicting precise scorelines. The even split in current probability suggests the market is still pricing in substantial variance across possible results rather than clustering around a single likely score.
Traders should monitor team news regarding injuries and suspensions in the weeks preceding the fixture, as absences of key players materially shift expected goal output. Rosenborg's domestic form trajectory through April and early May will be critical; any significant winning or losing streak could reshape how the order book prices individual scorelines. Weather conditions on match day and any fixture congestion affecting either side's rotation decisions may also influence final-score expectations closer to kickoff.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.eliteserien.no/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Rosenborg BK vs. Aalesunds FK - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.eliteserien.no/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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