Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game, scheduled for Sunday, May 3, 2026 between Kristiansund BK and Hamarkameratene.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Kristiansund BK | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (Kristiansund BK vs. Hamarkameratene) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Hamarkameratene | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Kristiansund BK will face Hamarkameratene in a Norway Eliteserien fixture on Sunday, 3 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability, indicating that traders are pricing this market with no meaningful YES position—a typical state for matches scheduled months in advance where settlement mechanics remain uncertain or where the market has attracted minimal liquidity.
Historical context suggests that Norwegian Eliteserien matches rarely trade at extreme probabilities this far from kickoff. Both clubs compete in Norway's top division, where form fluctuates significantly across a season. Kristiansund and Hamarkameratene have faced each other multiple times in recent seasons with varied outcomes. The 0% reading here likely reflects the market's early-stage illiquidity rather than a genuine assessment of match dynamics; as the fixture approaches, typical patterns show probability distributions widening across outcomes as traders incorporate team news, injury reports, and seasonal momentum.
Key catalysts for this market include official team announcements regarding player availability, managerial changes, and league scheduling confirmations. Traders should monitor Norwegian football media outlets and official Eliteserien communications for squad updates in the weeks preceding May. Weather conditions in Norway during early May and any fixture rescheduling could affect settlement mechanics. The settlement window closes at 15:00 UTC on match day, so traders should verify the exact kickoff time and any potential postponements that might alter the settlement date itself.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.eliteserien.no/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Kristiansund BK vs. Hamarkameratene" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$7K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.eliteserien.no/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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