Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game, scheduled for Sunday, May 24, 2026 between Hamarkameratene and Lillestrøm SK.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Hamarkameratene | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Draw (Hamarkameratene vs. Lillestrøm SK) | 34% YES | 66% NO |
| Lillestrøm SK | 37% YES | 64% NO |
Hamarkameratene will host Lillestrøm SK in the Norwegian Eliteserien on Sunday, 24 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 45% implied probability for a Hamarkameratene victory, with the remaining probability distributed across draws and away wins. This pricing emerges from real-time trading activity and represents the aggregated view of market participants assessing form, fixture difficulty, and squad availability as of today.
Historically, home advantage in Eliteserien matches carries measurable weight, though neither club commands a dominant record against the other. Lillestrøm has been a consistent top-half finisher in recent seasons, whilst Hamarkameratene's competitive standing has fluctuated. The 45% probability for a home win sits below the typical baseline for home-field advantage in Norwegian football, suggesting traders are pricing in either recent poor form at Hamarkameratene's ground, injury concerns, or relative strength disparity favouring the visitors.
Traders should monitor team news through May, particularly injury announcements affecting key players on either side. Fixture congestion in the weeks preceding 24 May—including any European or cup commitments—may influence squad rotation and fatigue levels. Recent league standings and head-to-head records in 2025–26 will sharpen probability estimates as the match approaches. Any managerial changes or significant transfers involving either club could shift the order book materially before settlement.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.eliteserien.no/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Hamarkameratene vs. Lillestrøm SK" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.eliteserien.no/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 24 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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