Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is named to the 2025-26 All-NBA Second Team. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If no official All-NBA Second Team is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Scottie Barnes | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Jalen Johnson | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Alperen Sengun | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Donovan Mitchell | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Jalen Brunson | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Cade Cunningham | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 39% YES | 62% NO |
| Victor Wembanyama | 45% YES | 55% NO |
The NBA's All-NBA voting process occurs annually following the regular season, with selections announced typically in June. The Second Team represents the second-tier honour after First Team, comprising five players selected by a voting panel of media members and fan votes (weighted at 50-50 prior to recent rule adjustments). A player's inclusion depends on their statistical performance, team success, and voter perception relative to peers at their position during the 2025-26 season. The 50% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects genuine uncertainty about whether the specific player will secure sufficient voting support, with the market pricing in both the player's baseline talent level and the competitive depth at their position.
Historical All-NBA selections show that Second Team spots are highly contested, particularly for guards and forwards where depth is considerable. Players averaging 20+ points with strong efficiency metrics and playoff-calibre teams typically secure selection, though voting can favour narrative elements and All-Star appearances. Recent seasons demonstrate that mid-tier All-Stars frequently compete for these spots; for instance, the 2024-25 voting saw several borderline candidates separated by narrow margins. The current 50-50 split suggests traders view this player as a genuine contender without clear consensus.
Key catalysts include the player's performance trajectory through the 2025-26 season, team playoff seeding, and any mid-season injuries affecting both the candidate and positional competitors. All-NBA voting concludes after the regular season ends in April 2026, with results typically announced by mid-June. Traders should monitor the player's statistical consistency, team wins-losses record, and comparative performance against other Second Team candidates at their position as the season progresses.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "NBA: 2025-26 All-NBA Second Team" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $159 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 30 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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