Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming MLS game between Sporting Kansas City and Los Angeles Galaxy, scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Sporting Kansas City vs. Los Angeles Galaxy match originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 45% YES | 55% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 46% YES | 55% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 45% YES | 55% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-0 | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-3 | 47% YES | 54% NO |
Sporting Kansas City and Los Angeles Galaxy meet on 13 May 2026 in an MLS regular season fixture, with settlement determined by the final score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market currently reflects a 46% implied probability for the exact score outcome specified, derived from Polymarket's order book activity. This probability sits notably below the baseline expectation for any single scoreline in a typical football match, suggesting traders are pricing in either significant uncertainty around which specific result will occur or concentration of liquidity around particular score outcomes.
MLS matches between established sides typically produce a distribution of results weighted towards low-scoring outcomes. Historical data from recent Galaxy-Sporting Kansas City encounters and broader MLS patterns show that 1–1 draws, 1–0 victories, and 2–1 results account for a substantial share of final scorelines. The current 46% probability indicates the market is pricing this particular exact score as moderately likely relative to the full range of possible outcomes, though still below the threshold where any single scoreline would be favoured. Comparable fixtures in the league suggest that exact-score markets rarely exceed 15–20% probability for individual results, making the current level noteworthy.
Traders should monitor team news regarding injuries or suspensions in the fortnight before the match, as absences of key attacking or defensive players materially shift scoring expectations. Weather conditions at the venue and any tactical adjustments announced by either manager could influence the likelihood of specific scorelines. Recent form, particularly goal-scoring efficiency and defensive solidity, will inform whether the market reprices towards higher or lower-scoring outcomes as match day approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Sporting Kansas City vs. Los Angeles Galaxy - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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