Sports

Trade: New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew - Halftime Result

Opened 3 May 2026 · Settles 10 May 2026

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming MLS game between New York City FC and Columbus Crew, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity: $0
Total Volume: $30
24h Volume: $30
Open Interest: $30

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Market outcomes

New York City FC	100% YES	0% NO
Draw	0% YES	100% NO
Columbus Crew	0% YES	100% NO

Market context

New York City FC will host Columbus Crew on 10 May 2026 at 4:30 PM ET in an MLS regular season fixture. The halftime result market settles on the outcome after 45 minutes of play plus stoppage time, with three possible outcomes: NYCFC victory, draw, or Columbus victory. The settlement window closes at 20:30 UTC on match day.

The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for YES, indicating traders are pricing this as a certainty event. This extreme probability typically emerges when one outcome dominates the available liquidity or when the market structure itself creates settlement ambiguity. Historical halftime markets in MLS show considerable variance—draws occur in roughly 25–30% of first-half periods across the league, whilst home advantage at halftime carries modest statistical weight compared to full-match outcomes. The 100% reading warrants scrutiny against typical halftime distribution patterns and suggests either thin liquidity concentrating around a single outcome or potential confusion regarding market mechanics.

Key variables affecting the halftime result include team selection announcements, which typically arrive 24–48 hours before kickoff, and recent form data from both squads' preceding fixtures. NYCFC's home record and Columbus's travel fatigue from away matches represent standard catalysts. Weather conditions at Yankee Stadium on match day and any late injury disclosures could shift tactical approaches. Traders should monitor official MLS team news channels and verify settlement criteria, as halftime markets occasionally encounter disputes over stoppage time inclusion or clock management interpretation.

Wikipedia Context

New York City FC
New York City Football Club is an American professional soccer club based in New York City. The club competes in Major League Soccer (MLS) as a member of the Eastern Conference. New York City FC is owned by City Football Group, a subsidiary of the Abu Dhabi United Group, with minority stakes held by Yankee Global Enterprises and investor Marcelo Claure.
New York City FC II
New York City FC II is an American professional soccer team based in New York City. It is the reserve team and minor league affiliate of New York City FC, and plays in MLS Next Pro, the third tier of the United States soccer league system.
Etihad Park (New York City)
Etihad Park is a soccer-specific stadium under construction in the Willets Point neighborhood of Queens, New York City. The stadium is the future home of New York City FC of Major League Soccer (MLS), who currently play home games at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx and Citi Field across the street from Etihad Park in Queens.
Hudson River Derby
The Hudson River Derby, originally sometimes known as the New York derby, is the name given to the local derby between the two Major League Soccer (MLS) clubs based in the New York metropolitan area, the New York Red Bulls and New York City FC. The derby derives its name from the Hudson River, which passes between the home stadiums of the two clubs. First pl

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$30 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

Last 24 hours alone saw $30 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share: A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB: Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity: USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle: The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage: The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token: ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew - Halftime Result"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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