Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming MLS game between Inter Miami CF and Orlando City SC, scheduled for May 2, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC match originally scheduled for May 2, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-2 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-2 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Inter Miami CF will face Orlando City SC in an MLS regular-season fixture on 2 May 2026 at 7:15 PM ET. The market resolves on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with any scoreline not explicitly listed settling to "Any Other Score." The 0% implied probability across Polymarket's order book reflects the current pricing mechanism, where no single exact scoreline has attracted sufficient backing to register measurable probability mass. This typically indicates either wide dispersion of trader expectations across multiple outcomes or minimal liquidity in the specific contract.
Historical MLS matches between these clubs provide context for score distribution. Inter Miami and Orlando City have produced varied results in recent seasons, with scorelines ranging from 1–0 to 3–2 outcomes. The frequency of exact scores in MLS regular-season matches tends to cluster around low-scoring results (0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–1), though higher-scoring draws and victories occur regularly. Given the competitive parity in the Eastern Conference, traders should expect the order book to eventually reflect probabilities weighted towards these common outcomes rather than concentrated on any single scoreline.
Traders monitoring this market should track team news regarding injuries, roster changes, and tactical adjustments in the weeks preceding the match. Recent form, home-field advantage (the match location remains relevant to historical performance), and any fixture congestion affecting either squad will influence expected goal output. Confirmation of the scheduled kick-off time and venue should be verified as the settlement window approaches, particularly given MLS scheduling adjustments that occasionally occur during the regular season.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$932 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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