Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for May 8 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| NRFI | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 6.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 9.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 10.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The New York Yankees face the Milwaukee Brewers in a regular-season MLB matchup scheduled for 8 May at 7:40 PM ET, with settlement occurring by 15 May. The current orderbook on Polymarket shows 0% implied probability for a Yankees victory, indicating that traders are pricing this as a near-certain Brewers win or reflecting extreme uncertainty about the match's occurrence. This pricing sits at the extremes of the probability distribution, suggesting either exceptional confidence in Milwaukee's prospects or minimal liquidity in the market at present.
Historical context matters here: regular-season MLB games between evenly-matched teams typically trade in the 45–55% range for either side, whilst matchups involving significant talent disparities or home-field advantages can shift to 35–65% ranges. A 0% reading is exceptionally rare in sports prediction markets and typically indicates either a data error, a postponement scenario being priced in, or minimal trading activity establishing a floor price. The Yankees and Brewers are both competitive franchises with comparable recent performance trajectories, making such an extreme probability unusual without specific extenuating circumstances.
Traders should monitor roster announcements, particularly injury status for key pitchers or position players, which can shift win probabilities by 5–15 percentage points. Weather conditions at the venue and any late-breaking scheduling changes warrant attention given the settlement window extends to 23 May. Recent MLB injury reports and official team statements should be consulted before committing capital, as the current extreme pricing may not reflect available information about team composition or performance metrics.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.mlb.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$308K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $227K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.mlb.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 15 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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