Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Angels and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for May 10 at 1:37PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| NRFI | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Spread -1.5 | 38% YES | 63% NO |
| O/U 8.5 | 47% YES | 54% NO |
The Los Angeles Angels face the Toronto Blue Jays on 10 May at 1:37 PM ET in a regular-season MLB matchup. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating genuine uncertainty amongst traders regarding which team will secure the victory. This even pricing suggests neither side holds a clear statistical advantage in the eyes of the market at present.
Historical matchups between these franchises provide limited predictive power for individual games, though seasonal performance metrics offer more relevant context. The Angels and Blue Jays operate in different divisions with distinct roster compositions and recent form trajectories. Traders typically weight recent win-loss records, run differential, and head-to-head performance over the past two seasons when assessing such matchups. The current probability distribution suggests the market views both teams as roughly equivalent on the day, with no substantial edge apparent from available information.
Key variables affecting settlement include pitcher assignments, injury status of key players, and weather conditions at game time. Announcement of starting pitchers typically occurs 24 to 48 hours before first pitch and can materially shift market pricing. Traders should monitor team injury reports and any last-minute roster adjustments that could influence offensive or defensive capability. The settlement window extends to 17 May, allowing for potential postponements due to weather or unforeseen circumstances, though the market will remain open until the game concludes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.mlb.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$111K in lifetime turnover and $381K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $111K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.mlb.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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