Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for May 9 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals | 45% YES | 56% NO |
| NRFI | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Spread -1.5 | 39% YES | 62% NO |
| O/U 9.5 | 43% YES | 57% NO |
The Detroit Tigers face the Kansas City Royals on 9 May at 7:10 PM ET in an American League Central division matchup. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 45% implied probability for a Tigers victory, suggesting the market views Kansas City as slight favourites. This probability has formed through real-time trading activity as both teams' recent form and roster status become clearer in the lead-up to the fixture.
Historical matchups between these clubs show competitive balance, though context matters significantly for May contests when teams are still establishing rhythm. The Tigers have shown volatility in recent seasons, whilst Kansas City has maintained relative consistency in the Central. Early-season probabilities often shift as injury reports crystallise and starting pitcher assignments become confirmed. The settlement window extends to 16 May, providing traders with a week to monitor developments after the scheduled 9 May start date.
Key catalysts include official confirmation of starting pitchers, which typically occurs 24–48 hours before first pitch, and any roster moves or injury announcements from either organisation. Weather conditions at Kauffman Stadium could influence play style and run-scoring expectations. Traders should monitor MLB injury reports and team news feeds, particularly regarding position player availability and bullpen depth, as these factors materially affect win probability in divisional play where teams know each opponent's tendencies well.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.mlb.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$117K in lifetime turnover and $574K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $117K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.mlb.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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