Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for May 9 at 9:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | 38% YES | 63% NO |
| NRFI | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Spread -1.5 | — | |
| O/U 9.5 | 42% YES | 59% NO |
The Atlanta Braves travel to Los Angeles to face the Dodgers on 9 May at 9:10 PM ET in a regular-season matchup. The current order book on Polymarket prices the Braves at 39% implied probability, reflecting a slight lean toward the home side. This probability is formed through the aggregated bets of traders responding to real-time information about roster availability, recent form, and ballpark conditions.
Historically, the Dodgers hold a structural advantage in head-to-head matchups against the Braves, though recent seasons have seen the gap narrow considerably. The Braves' 2023 World Series run and subsequent competitive rosters have shifted market expectations away from the pronounced Dodgers favouritism that characterised earlier periods. Current-season records, run differential, and divisional standing as of early May will anchor the baseline probability; teams with stronger records typically trade at higher implied win probabilities regardless of opponent.
Key catalysts for traders include starting pitcher announcements, which typically arrive 24–48 hours before first pitch, and any late roster moves or injury updates. The Dodgers' depth in starting rotation and bullpen has been a consistent strength, whilst the Braves' offensive consistency remains a counterweight. Weather conditions at Dodger Stadium—temperature, wind direction, and humidity—can materially affect run scoring expectations. Traders should monitor official MLB injury reports and team communications through 8 May, as late-breaking changes to lineups or pitching assignments can shift the order book substantially in the final hours before settlement.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.mlb.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$75K in lifetime turnover and $509K of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $74K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.mlb.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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