Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Morocco Botola Pro game, scheduled for Thursday, May 7, 2026 between AS FAR and OC Safi.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| AS FAR | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (AS FAR vs. OC Safi) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| OC Safi | 0% YES | 100% NO |
AS FAR and OC Safi will contest a Morocco Botola Pro fixture on Thursday, 7 May 2026. The match represents a standard domestic league encounter in Morocco's top division, where both clubs compete for points in the regular season. The settlement window closes at 20:00 UTC on match day, allowing traders a final window to adjust positions before the result is determined.
The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for the YES outcome, suggesting the market has priced in either a decisive OC Safi victory or a draw as the consensus expectation. Historical Botola Pro matchups between clubs of comparable standing typically show wider probability distributions, with home advantage and recent form carrying measurable weight. The extreme pricing here warrants scrutiny: such compressed probabilities often emerge when one side has material recent performance data—such as a significant winning streak, injury crisis, or head-to-head record—that the market has already digested.
Traders should monitor team news through early May for squad availability, particularly any late injuries to key players that could shift match dynamics. Recent Botola Pro standings and AS FAR's current league position relative to OC Safi will inform whether the fixture carries playoff implications or represents a mid-table encounter. Fixture congestion in the Moroccan calendar, if either club has European or cup commitments in the preceding week, may affect rotation decisions and fatigue levels. Local sports reporting from outlets covering Moroccan football will provide the most current team information as the match approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.frmf.ma/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "AS FAR vs. OC Safi" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$6K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.frmf.ma/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: