Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This is a market on the KBO baseball game between Samsung Lions and NC Dinos, scheduled for May 8 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Samsung Lions" if the Samsung Lions win the game. This market will resolve to "NC Dinos" if the NC Dinos win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| KBO: Samsung Lions vs. NC Dinos | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Samsung Lions face NC Dinos in a Korean Baseball Organisation fixture scheduled for 8 May at 5:30 AM ET. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability for Samsung Lions victory, suggesting either exceptionally strong conviction amongst traders or minimal liquidity on the order book. Settlement occurs by 15 May, allowing a week for the match to be played and official results confirmed via the KBO.
The Lions and Dinos represent mid-tier KBO franchises with comparable recent performance records. Samsung has historically maintained stronger seasonal consistency, whilst NC has shown volatility in win-loss streaks. Single-game markets in the KBO often exhibit extreme probability distributions when order book depth remains shallow, particularly for early-morning ET fixtures that fall outside peak trading hours in Western markets. Historical precedent suggests such extreme probabilities frequently compress as match day approaches and additional traders enter positions.
Key variables affecting the outcome include pitcher assignments, which the KBO typically confirms 24–48 hours before fixtures, and weather conditions at the venue in Daegu or Changwon. Recent form matters considerably: both teams' performance in the week preceding 8 May will influence actual competitive balance. Injuries to key players or roster changes announced by either franchise could materially shift expectations. Traders should monitor KBO official announcements and Korean sports reporting for lineup confirmations, as these often shift implied probabilities substantially once disclosed.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.koreabaseball.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "KBO: Samsung Lions vs. NC Dinos" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$13K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.koreabaseball.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 15 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: