Trade: KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Doosan Bears
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This is a market on the KBO baseball game between Lotte Giants and Doosan Bears, scheduled for May 16 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Lotte Giants" if the Lotte Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "Doosan Bears" if the Doosan Bears win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $56
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Doosan Bears | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
The Lotte Giants face the Doosan Bears in a regular-season KBO League fixture scheduled for 16 May 2026. The match begins at 4:00 AM ET, placing it during Seoul's afternoon hours. Currently, Polymarket's order book reflects a 50–50 split probability, indicating traders view both sides as evenly matched heading into the contest.
Historical matchups between these two clubs show competitive balance across recent seasons. The Giants and Bears rank among the KBO's stronger franchises, with both regularly contending for playoff positions. When evenly-matched teams meet, weather conditions, bullpen availability, and recent form typically drive outcomes more than structural advantages. The 50–50 implied probability aligns with this competitive parity; neither club has established clear dominance in head-to-head records that would justify skewing odds substantially in either direction.
Key variables for traders to monitor include starting pitcher assignments, which the KBO typically announces 48 hours before fixtures, and any injury updates affecting roster depth. Recent form matters considerably—teams entering the fixture on winning or losing streaks often carry momentum effects. Additionally, the settlement window extends to 23 May 2026, providing buffer time should postponement occur due to weather, a relevant consideration for Korean baseball during late spring. Official KBO announcements and credible sports reporting outlets covering the league will serve as primary information sources for tracking these developments.
Wikipedia Context
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KlottenKlotten is an Ortsgemeinde – a municipality belonging to a Verbandsgemeinde, a kind of collective municipality – in the Cochem-Zell district in Rhineland-Palatinate, Germany. It belongs to the Verbandsgemeinde of Cochem, whose seat is in the like-named town. It is a winemaking centre.
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Klottey KorleKlottey Korle is one of the constituencies represented in the Parliament of Ghana. It elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first-past-the-post system of election. The Klottey Korle constituency is located in the Greater Accra Region of Ghana.
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James C. Klotter
James C. Klotter is an American historian who has served as the State Historian of Kentucky since 1980. Klotter is also a history professor at Georgetown College and one of the co-authors of Kentucky's staple history book, A New History of Kentucky.
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Emosi Koloto
Emosi Koloto is a former rugby league and rugby union player. He won one international cap for Tonga in rugby union in 1986, and five for New Zealand in rugby league in 1991. Koloto played his rugby league as a second-row.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.koreabaseball.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Doosan Bears" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $56 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
What is the current probability for "KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Doosan Bears"?
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 50%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.koreabaseball.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 23 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Doosan Bears"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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